Blog "Caveat Lector"

The Future of Immigration Following Trump's Victory

November 18, 2016

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Pro-Link GLOBAL Co-Founder, CEO and Senior Global Counsel, Andrea Elliott, shared the following insights on the future of immigration after the U.S. election naming Donald Trump the next President.

Any comments Trump has made on corporate immigration have been inconsistent. Trump has advocated both for and against allowing highly- skilled workers into the United States, making it difficult to discern his goals.

If he sticks with his stated goals such as they are below, then the U.S. has a long road ahead of it.

  1. build a physical wall between the United States and Mexico
  2. end the “catch and release” protocol, so that illegal entrants into the United States would be detained until removed from the country
  3. deport criminal aliens, in joint operation with local, state and federal law enforcement,
  4. triple the number of Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents
  5. stop issuing visas in jurisdictions that are considered to have inadequate screening mechanisms
  6. end President Obama’s executive actions, DAPA and DACA, and deport beneficiaries of these programs
  7. End “sanctuary cities” (i.e. cities that avoid prosecuting and,
  8. Trump has called for a temporary ban on issuing visas to enter the United States from “volatile” regions, but has not specified what these regions are. 

From a global visa standpoint, Trump has called for an outright ban on Muslims entering the U.S.A. This is the most important divisive issue, that will need wise men and women to help dial his position back. From a visa perspective, there are three clear impacts.

  1. Any national of a Muslim country will most certainly be subject to additional security clearances if they are entering on an already existing visa, and
  2. It could mean an outright ban on visas for citizens of Muslim countries. 
  3. The reciprocity rule will be activated 

This has an immediate impact based on the universal principle of diplomatic reciprocity. Essentially it will begin a "tit for tat " level of engagement. 

If you recall when the U.S.A. announced overnight it was going to charge a $100 entry fee to Brazilians, the very next day upon arrival in Rio de Janeiro, U.S. Citizens faced the exact same fee on arrival, with the added twist of having to be photographed. 

What does that mean for U.S. Travelers? If the U.S.A. bans Muslims or specific nationalities based on religion, then the U.S. should expect her citizens to be barred from entry into those countries. 

Overall, a gigantic headache for global existing contracts, trade agreements and multinational companies who trade in oil and related petroleum products. 

Why? 

Because Trump will soon find out that the vitriol will be returned very effectively by Middle Eastern nations. 

Take the recent example of The Netherlands. They can attest to feeling the wrath of Saudi Arabia for months, when a perceived slight against the Prophet was used as the basis for stopping all work permit applications by ANY Dutch passport holder.

The reality is that commerce will and must continue for the benefit of the global economy. The question is, who represents the needs of global markets and business in the Trump cabinet? 

We trust that cooler heads will prevail between now and the inauguration in January 2017.

UAE Immigration